8 Hours to Go: One Last Look at the New Hampshire Polls

The vote tomorrow may be the “only poll that matters,” but the polls taken recently may at least offer a glimpse of what is to come.

Here is a summary of the final polls taken in New Hampshire on the eve of the first-in-the-nation primary. There are now just eight hours to go before the first votes are cast in Dixville Notch, Hart’s Location, and Millsfield.

The Polls

Boston Herald/Franklin Pierce University — 1. Trump 31, 2. Cruz 16, 3. Rubio 15, 4. Kasich 11, 5. Bush 10, 6. Christie 5, 7. Fiorina 4, 8. Carson 3

CNN/WMUR-TV — 1. Trump 33, 2. Cruz 16, 3. Rubio 14, 4. Kasich 11, 5. Bush 17, 6. Fiorina 6, 7. Christie 4, 8. Carson 2

Monmouth University — 1. Trump 30, 2. Kasich 14, 3-t. Bush 13, 3-t. Cruz 13, 5. Rubio 12, 6. Christie 6, 7. Fiorina 5, 8. Carson 4

American Research Group (Tracking) — 1. Trump 30 (down), 2-t. Rubio 16 (down), 2-t. Kasich 16 (down), 4. Cruz 10 (up), 5. Bush 9 (steady), 6. Christie 6 (up), 7. Fiorina 3 (up), 8. Carson 1 (steady)

University of Massachusetts/7 News (Tracking) — 1. Trump 34 (down), 2-t. Cruz 13 (steady), 2-t. Rubio 13 (down), 4-t. Kasich 10 (up), 4-t. Bush 10 (steady), 6. Christie 5 (up), 7. Fiorina 4 (steady), 8. Carson 3 (steady)

RCP Average

The following are the average ranges predicted by the Real Clear Politics averages and the combined margin-of-error for the polls (4.9 points):

1. Trump     36.5 – 26.7%

2. Rubio      19.5 –   9.7%

3. Cruz        17.9 –   8.1%

4. Kasich     17.3 –   7.5%

5. Bush       14.7 –   4.9%

6. Christie   10.1 –   0.3%

7. Fiorina      9.3 –   0.0%

8. Carson      7.5 –   0.0%